Sweden’s wind build-out is grinding to a halt, according to Green Power Sweden, which warned that only 2GW of capacity will be delivered by 2027 before expansion stops due to collapsing investment conditions.
The group said 2025 saw just one turbine order placed in the third quarter, totalling 25MW, and “no signs of improved market conditions” for large-scale projects under current conditions.
It attributed the slowdown to uncertain market conditions, low electricity prices and high political risk, noting that more than 90% of wind projects this year were blocked under the municipal veto.
Anton Johansson, responsible for analysis and marketing at Green Power Sweden, said: “The fact that a turbine order was placed is of course a step in the right direction, but overall we see that there is a lack of sufficient conditions for investments in new electricity production.”
“Unless investment conditions improve in the near future, it will be much more difficult to meet the increased electricity demand that the industry has announced for the 2030s,” he said.
Johansson added that demand must rise and political clarity must return to accelerate electrification, highlighting delays to municipal incentives and constraints from the Armed Forces.
“It is now crucial that the government focuses on restoring the pace of electrification,” he said.
“There are several measures that now need to be put in place, and faster electrification is the main priority. Otherwise, we risk Sweden ending up in a situation where the expansion of new electricity production comes to a complete halt,” Johansson said.
Green Power Sweden said its quarterly data is sourced from turbine suppliers and project designers, alongside public material, and that it is expanding coverage to include large-scale solar and storage.