Sweden is facing a sharp decline in wind energy expansion after 2027, according to the latest data from Green Power Sweden.
No new turbine orders were placed in the second quarter of 2025, continuing a negative trend that began last year and reflects broader uncertainty in the sector.
Roughly 2GW of capacity is currently under construction and due for completion by 2027, but Green Power Sweden warned that a significant drop-off in development is expected beyond that point.
“We see a significantly reduced wind power expansion after 2027,” said Anton Johansson, head of analysis and marketing at Green Power Sweden.
“This is worrying because it is wind power and solar power, in combination with energy storage, that can meet the increasing electricity demand in Sweden until 2035.”
Electricity demand from Swedish industry is projected to rise by 66–81TWh by 2035, according to SKGS, the industry energy coalition.
Green Power Sweden attributed the standstill in investment decisions to continued volatility in electricity prices, political uncertainty, high development costs and lengthy grid connection timelines.
The report said current expansion is being driven by investment decisions made in 2021 and 2022.
Only two new permits for wind farms were granted in 2024 – one onshore and one offshore – with municipal vetoes and military objections cited as key obstacles.
“The environmental permits granted today are for projects that have the potential to start delivering electricity in the early 2030s,” said Johansson.
“One might wonder where the increased supply of electricity that industry demands will come from when we simultaneously see that investment decisions for already licensed projects are stalling.”
He called for “powerful political measures” to reverse the trend and ensure continued capacity growth.
Green Power Sweden’s quarterly market statistics are based on data from project developers and turbine suppliers, as well as publicly available information.
Future editions of the report will also track large-scale solar and storage developments, which the organisation said will be critical in meeting industry demand through 2035.