Renewable electricity generation in the Netherlands will increase from just over 7GW today to more than 36GW in 2033, according to an annual security of supply report by transmission system operator TenneT.
Solar, wind and hydropower will provide two thirds of electricity production capacity in the country in the period.
To counteract intermittency of renewables generation interconnections will provide sufficient electricity import/export opportunities, ensuring energy security. Interconnector import/export capacity is growing by 60% from 5.5GW today to 9.1GW in 2025 according to the TSO.
Thermal electricity production capacity in the Netherlands will reduce from 22.4GW today to 17.6GW in 2033,
Within the scope of its security of supply study, Tennet also commissioned an investigation into the outlook for gas-fired power plants, concluding the market situation for efficient gas-fired power plants will strongly improve from 2024 onwards.
According to Tennet’s findings, nuclear power phase-out in Europe, rising carbon and fuel prices will ensure gas plants become profitable again.
In Tennet’s latest forecast for the Netherlands, from the mid 2020s gas plants and interconnectors will ensure security of supply as the market decarbonises.
The TSO concludes electricity supply to be sufficient during the forecast period.